Tropical Wave to Affect Weather in USVI and Puerto Rico Starting Late Monday

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has announced that Tropical Wave AL95, also known as Invest 95L, is anticipated to enter the Caribbean Sea early next week. This system is expected to bring worsening marine and weather conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands beginning late Monday and continuing into Tuesday.

Current model guidance indicates that AL95 is generating disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. However, environmental conditions are predicted to become favorable for development, with a tropical depression or tropical storm likely to form over the weekend. The system is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph and is expected to be several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands by the weekend.

The NHC has assessed the following probabilities for AL95’s development:

• Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (60 percent)
• Formation chance through 7 days: High (80 percent)

The NHC advises that those in the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and the USVI should closely monitor the system’s progress. Given the dynamic and evolving nature of the situation, the next tropical weather outlook is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. AST. Residents are encouraged to stay informed and prepared as the system approaches.

Further updates and detailed briefings will be provided daily as the tropical wave advances.