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Hurricane Season

Potential Tropical Development on the Horizon: Caribbean Braces for Impact, with a Tropical Depression Anticipated Soon

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As the eyes of many remain on the National Hurricane Center (NHC) for its continuous updates on Tropical Storm Nigel, a growing concern emerges for a tropical wave predicted to originate from the west coast of Africa. With the forecast showing a robust 70% probability of evolving over the coming week, the system might bring repercussions to the Caribbean, journeying westward across the expansive eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

The NHC, with its vigilant surveillance, is currently assessing multiple meteorological patterns spanning the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico. Although Tropical Storm Nigel is on the radar, its location over the central subtropical Atlantic indicates no pressing threats to either the U.S. mainland or the neighboring Caribbean territories.

Early indicators suggest that the tropical wave, predicted to roll off the African coast by midweek, carries a strong potential for development. Anticipated environmental conditions appear favorable for its gradual evolution, steering the wave towards metamorphosing into a tropical depression by the week’s end or soon after. Preliminary estimates by the NHC postulate a near-negligible chance of formation in the immediate 48-hour frame but elevate that probability to a noteworthy 70% in the week ahead. Given its current trajectory, Caribbean territories should maintain heightened alertness for any ensuing impacts.

Parallel to this, the NHC’s gaze is fixed on an anticipated non-tropical low-pressure zone, set to appear near the U.S. southeastern coastline within the week. There’s a potential for this system to adopt some subtropical traits over the weekend, contingent on its offshore activities. Presently, the odds for its formation remain modest: almost nil for the upcoming 48 hours but rising to a 30% chance within the week.

As the annual hurricane season unfolds in all its might, it’s imperative for dwellers of the Caribbean and those residing along the southeastern coast of the U.S. to stay abreast of meteorological updates. Establishing emergency preparedness kits is a prudent move. The NHC assures consistent monitoring of these meteorological patterns and pledges timely updates as fresh data surfaces.

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Hurricane Season

FEMA Urges Virgin Islands Residents to Update Emergency Plans as Hurricane Season Begins

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As the Atlantic hurricane season commences, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is urging U.S. Virgin Islands residents to brace for what is expected to be an above-normal season. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has predicted between 17 and 25 named storms for 2024, underscoring the importance of readiness in the region.

FEMA is stressing the necessity of updating emergency communication plans to enhance safety and reduce the stress associated with approaching tropical systems. It is crucial for residents to revisit and revise their plans, ensuring all family members are well-versed in the procedures to follow if a storm threatens the area.

FEMA’s key recommendations include:

  1. Plan Review and Update: Families should reassess their emergency plans, taking into account any changes over the past year. It’s essential that every member understands their role and the actions to take during an emergency.
  2. Communication Strategy: Designate a family member outside the territory as an emergency contact. This person can serve as a central point of communication for relatives and friends if local channels are disrupted.
  3. Accessible Information: FEMA provides an emergency communications plan template to document vital contact and medical information for each family member. This template is also available in Spanish, making it more accessible to a broader audience.

In addition to updating plans, FEMA advises residents to conduct practice drills. These drills help ensure that everyone knows how to communicate effectively and reunite if separated during a storm.

For more details and to access the emergency communications plan template, residents can visit FEMA’s website or contact the local emergency management office. Being prepared can significantly reduce the risks and anxiety associated with hurricane season in the Caribbean.

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Hurricane Season

Emergency Shelters Identified and Shelf-Stable Foods Procured as USVI Prepares for the Hurricane Season

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As the Virgin Islands government advances billion-dollar hurricane recovery projects initiated in 2017, residents brace for an above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, with forecasts predicting four to seven major hurricanes. Senator Kenneth Gittens convened a meeting on Wednesday with the Committee on Homeland Security, Justice, and Public Affairs to review preparedness plans. Daryl Jaschen, director of the V.I. Territorial Emergency Management Agency (VITEMA), emphasized the importance of proactive planning.

Reflecting on the 2017 hurricanes, Jaschen lamented past complacency among residents and urged serious preparation for the upcoming season. He highlighted the necessity of considering senior citizens, ensuring medication availability, and caring for pets. “We don’t want it, but we want to be prepared,” he stated.

A significant improvement in this year’s preparations is the prepositioning of FEMA-supplied shelf-stable water and meals, sufficient for ten days, within the territory. Unlike in 2017, when supplies were stored in Puerto Rico, these resources are now readily available. If necessary, food supplies will be distributed from various points of distribution (PODs) five days after a federal disaster declaration. Residents are advised to maintain a personal emergency stash for at least five days, as immediate distribution may not be possible.

VITEMA plans to operate two PODs per district, each capable of distributing up to 5,000 meals daily. These PODs will function until normal food supply chains are restored and ATMs are operational. Distribution sites will provide two meals and three liters of water per person per day.

The five-day lead time for distribution stems from the logistics of receiving and processing FEMA supplies. Jaschen warned residents not to expect immediate assistance post-storm, as it takes time to activate PODs. Road clearance is also a prerequisite for POD operations.

The exact locations for the PODs remain undecided, causing concern among legislators. Senator Gittens emphasized the need for pre-identified locations to facilitate easier access during emergencies. Jaschen responded that the final POD sites would be determined based on post-storm assessments.

The V.I. Department of Human Services (DHS) is also preparing for potential hurricane impacts. Community Affairs Coordinator Yvette Henry reported that DHS, with FEMA, the American Red Cross, and local partners, has inspected and identified several evacuation shelters. In St. Croix, the St. Croix Educational Complex and the David C. Canageta Recreational Complex are designated shelters. St. Thomas shelters include the Ivanna Eudora Kean High School’s gym and cafeteria and the Lockhart Elementary and Junior High School. St. John shelters are the Adrian Senior Center and the Gift Hill School. There is no listed shelter for Water Island for 2024.

DHS, along with the V.I. Department of Health, is ensuring shelters can meet the needs of vulnerable populations, including accommodations for service animals. DHS continues to identify additional shelters, with lawmakers urging the selection of easily accessible locations for all residents.

The V.I. Department of Public Works (DPW) is focused on stormwater management, tree pruning, sandbag distribution, route clearance, and infrastructure restoration. Assistant Labor Commissioner Rueben Jennings noted DPW’s readiness to assist in supply distribution if required. Lawmakers stressed the importance of drain maintenance to prevent flooding and debris blockage. DPW has begun assessing the stormwater drainage system and will continue these efforts throughout the hurricane season.

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Hurricane Season

DLCA Urges Price List Submissions Ahead of 2024 Hurricane Season

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As the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season commences, the Department of Licensing and Consumer Affairs (DLCA) is urging businesses in the U.S. Virgin Islands to submit their hurricane price lists by June 1. This measure aims to protect consumers from price gouging during emergencies and ensure essential supplies remain affordable and accessible.

DLCA Commissioner Nathalie Hodge underscored the significance of these submissions, which are required monthly until the season concludes on November 30. The regulation affects retailers, wholesalers, and providers of vital services such as food, water, medical products, and construction services. The initiative focuses on items critical for hurricane preparation and recovery.

Non-compliance with these regulations can result in fines up to $200 per item or service sold in violation of the law. Businesses can access a sample price list form on the DLCA website and submit their lists via email to [email protected].

This call for price list submissions follows a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast predicting an 85% chance of above-normal hurricane activity this year. The Climate Prediction Center anticipates 17 to 25 named storms, with 8 to 13 likely to become hurricanes, including 4 to 7 major hurricanes.

The heightened hurricane activity is linked to near-record warm ocean temperatures, La Niña conditions, and reduced wind shear, all of which contribute to a favorable environment for storm development. Additionally, a robust West African monsoon may enhance the strength and sustainability of storms crossing the Atlantic.

NOAA is enhancing its forecasting and communication capabilities to better serve the public during hurricane threats. New technologies and updated operational strategies will be employed, including expanded Spanish language advisories, an experimental inland storm threat graphic, and advanced data collection tools like Saildrones.

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